Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.502721 0.572324 0.646873 0.732520 0.828056 0.931198 1.050831
2025-08-10 0.383327 0.476583 0.584218 0.717051 0.875950 1.059270 1.286079
2025-08-17 0.301314 0.406974 0.537707 0.709958 0.929362 1.197766 1.549018
2025-08-24 0.243402 0.355492 0.503491 0.710581 0.989779 1.349639 1.844400
2025-08-31 0.196202 0.308868 0.467092 0.701302 1.034030 1.483730 2.130028
2025-09-07 0.165450 0.279241 0.448374 0.711843 1.104084 1.656934 2.482882
2025-09-14 0.136385 0.246478 0.419400 0.702302 1.142602 1.788092 2.787786
2025-09-21 0.117044 0.225410 0.404502 0.710863 1.207115 1.960566 3.165135
2025-09-28 0.097401 0.199991 0.378373 0.697256 1.234347 2.077901 3.468261
2025-10-05 0.087875 0.190826 0.377895 0.725178 1.329805 2.306899 3.958902
2025-10-12 0.079641 0.182504 0.377426 0.752420 1.425847 2.543314 4.477561
2025-10-19 0.069870 0.169235 0.365777 0.757781 1.483990 2.721233 4.913185
2025-10-26 0.060751 0.155746 0.352021 0.757981 1.533762 2.890449 5.349710
2025-11-02 0.052640 0.142847 0.337478 0.754681 1.576451 3.050369 5.781675
2025-11-09 0.046063 0.132128 0.325766 0.755305 1.626071 3.225596 6.251631
2025-11-16 0.040809 0.123510 0.317209 0.761109 1.685753 3.422682 6.772668
2025-11-23 0.035426 0.113370 0.303653 0.754489 1.719806 3.574500 7.221498
2025-11-30 0.032009 0.107731 0.299591 0.767822 1.795052 3.808143 7.834041
2025-12-07 0.027794 0.098870 0.286398 0.758931 1.822982 3.952698 8.288888
2025-12-14 0.025073 0.093766 0.281707 0.768942 1.891650 4.180795 8.915224
2025-12-21 0.021620 0.085539 0.267648 0.754879 1.906379 4.302308 9.342931
2025-12-28 0.020376 0.084170 0.271612 0.785174 2.022173 4.635217 10.202808
2026-01-04 0.019185 0.082710 0.275103 0.814624 2.138370 4.975905 11.096305